POPULATION AGING IN IRAN AND RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS

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MIRZAIE MOHAMMAD; DARABI SAADALLAH; BABAPOUR MITRA

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Journal: Salmand: Iranian Journal of Ageing Year:2017 | Volume:12 | Issue:2 Page(s): 156-158

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Title

POPULATION AGING IN IRAN AND RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS

Author(s)

MIRZAIE MOHAMMAD | DARABI SAADALLAH | BABAPOUR MITRA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

POPULATION AGINGQ1

PSEUDO-PANEL METHODQ1

LIFE CYCLEQ1

COSTS OF HEALTH CAREQ1

Abstract

Objectives: This study analyzes the consumption pattern of health care costs in Iranian urban households' LIFE CYCLE costs with a focus on aging period during 1997 to 2013.Methods & Materials: This study is a secondary analysis conducted using data from the UN Population Division and household income and spending, with the help of PSEUDO-PANEL METHOD. In order to recreate and analyze data, STATA software is used. In addition, the index of scale is used for adjusting the amount of costs relative to household size and age of people in the household, and the consumer price index is used in order to adjust inflation of the costs in different years.Results: Findings showed that the population is transitioning from youth to old age; the number of elderly is estimated to reach over 10 million people, i.e. more than 11%, in 2036. Analysis of the effects of aging on health care costs show that demand for consumption from age 25 to 50 years is gradually growing; this demand then reaches its climax in the final years of an individual's life. The effect of generation showed that new generations have a higher demand for consumption of healthcare costs compared to the previous generations. The results of the study indicate that the demand for consumption is initially fixed and then is increased or decreased in the mentioned years.Conclusion: Based on the results of this research, it can be said that people throughout their LIFE CYCLE always allocate a percentage of their total spending to health care costs, but the percentage of this allocation is different at different ages. In a way the demand for healthcare costs increases with aging, it rises significantly in the old age. At the macro level, due to an increase in the percentage of elderly in the population over the next decade, there will also be an increase in the share of health care costs.

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APA: Copy

MIRZAIE, MOHAMMAD, DARABI, SAADALLAH, & BABAPOUR, MITRA. (2017). POPULATION AGING IN IRAN AND RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGEING, 12(2), 156-158. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/94966/en

Vancouver: Copy

MIRZAIE MOHAMMAD, DARABI SAADALLAH, BABAPOUR MITRA. POPULATION AGING IN IRAN AND RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGEING[Internet]. 2017;12(2):156-158. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/94966/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD MIRZAIE, SAADALLAH DARABI, and MITRA BABAPOUR, “POPULATION AGING IN IRAN AND RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGEING, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 156–158, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/94966/en

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