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Title

APPLICATION OF OPTIMAL THEORY FOR FORCAST PATH OF IRAN LIQUIDITY

Pages

 Start Page 67 | End Page 82

Abstract

 Since the process of economic development rests on the five-year program is to develop. Implement these programs require financial resources and liquidity expansion that can to lead to negative economic effects may include swelling. The optimal paths of liquidity determining based on the objectives of develop programs. Therefore, the comparison of used this path can help to policy makers.Accordingly, the aim of this paper to forecast optimal path of liquidity during developed fifth. So, Liquidity volume is extracted using the results of SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS based on the structure of the economy in OPTIMAL CONTROL THEORY. In this regard, we tried to estimate the SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS system by a three-stage least squares method using a time series of variables during the period 1963-2007, and the optimum amounts to forecast during the period 2008-2015. In end, optimal path of liquidity by used liquidity growth rate based on development plans goal.

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