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Title

EFFECT ANALYSIS OF BUBBLE ON THE RETURNE OF HOUSE PRICE IN TEHRAN

Pages

 Start Page 22 | End Page 42

Abstract

 Housing price has an important role in decision making of both government and householders. In particular, HOUSING PRICE in Iran in recent decaates has an amazing growth, however in recent years, this BUBBLE, burst but its feed back bit the other components of economic systems. When HOUSING PRICE BUBBLEs explode, may cause inappropriate decisions and policies. In this study we use the vector auto regression models to see about response of return to impulse of HOUSING PRICE BUBBLE and olso the response of inflation to this, considering that seasonal data are more stable than other data we exploited the seasonal data in 1371-1387 range. Summing up all our finding it was concluded that the impulse of BUBBLE has an inevitable effect on return and inflation that in first period is more visible and then continue in slow slope over the times and never come back to the mod hade befor this.

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