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مشخصات

عنوان:

بررسی اثرات تغییر پارامترهای اقلیمی بر منابع آب بالادست حوضه آبخیز زاینده رود



گروه تخصصی:  فنی و مهندسی

سازمان مجری:  دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی موسسه آموزش عالی دانش پژوهان پیشرو و دانشکده برنامه ریزی فضایی دانشگاه صنعتی دورتمند آلمان 

گروه پژوهشی: فنی و مهندسی

پژوهشگران: 
تاریخ خاتمه:  1399

کارفرما: دانشگاه صنعتی دورتمند آلمان و موسسه آموزش عالی دانش پژوهان پیشرو

خروجی طرح: 

کتاب: برنامه ریزی در آلمان و ایران-پاسخگویی به چالش های تغییر اقلیم از طریق گفتگوی میان فرهنگی

Planning in Germany and Iran-Responding to Challenges of Climate Change through Intercultural Dialogue


نوع: پروژه مشترک با دانشگاه صنعتی دورتمند حمایت شده توسط مرکز تبادلات آکادمیک آلمان (DAAD) در چهارچوب برنامه higher education dialogue with Islam world

 
تلفن: 031-37779914-19

نشانی سازمان مجری: اصفهان، بلوار کشاورز، نبش چهارراه مفتح
 

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Title:

Investigating the Effects of Climate Parameters Change on Upstream Water Resources of Zayandehrud Watershed



Abstract:

Increasing or decreasing rainfall over long-term average conditions causes two major phenomena: flood and drought. Drought, rising temperatures, rising consumption, and improper management patterns are fundamental causes of the water crisis that pose a serious threat to the human future. One of the effects of climatic parameters change is the occurrence of water stress. This threat is much more acute in aquatic watersheds (arid regions), particularly in central Iran. Therefore, evaluation, simulation, and prediction of this phenomenon are of great importance in the future due to its consequences on water resources and their effects on the political, social, and economic relations of societies. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between climatic parameters and their effects on surface and groundwater resources upstream of the Zayandehrud watershed. Firstly, using the annual precipitation data of Fereydunshahr and Daran stations during the past statistical period, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and its effect on surface and groundwater resources from 1991 to 2011 were evaluated. Then, the minimum and maximum temperature parameters from the CORDEX dataset and RCP4. 5 scenario until 2040 were scaled and predicted. The results of this study showed that 2008 was one of the driest years in the upstream watershed. It was also found that precipitation affected the surface and subsurface water of this part of the watershed. Estimates of minimum and maximum temperature data indicate an increase in the upstream area of the watershed, especially during winter. The threshold for incremental changes will be between 0. 2 and 2. 6 ° C.



Keyword(s): Drought,Climate Change,Water Resource,GCM,Zayandehrud Watershed