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Paper Information

Journal:   JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND PLANNING IN HIGHER EDUCATION   SPRING 2012 , Volume 18 , Number 1 (63); Page(s) 43 To 68.
 
Paper: 

FORECASTING OF HIGHER EDUCATION DEMAND FOR UNDERGRADUATE AND GRADUATE LEVELS IN IRAN'S 2025 PROSPECT

 
 
Author(s):  GHAVIDEL SALEH*, FARJADI GHOLAMALI, RAZEGHI HOSSEIN, BADIEI HOSSEIN
 
* DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC, ISLAMIC AZAD UNIVERSITY, FIROOZKOOH BRANCH, FIROOZKOOH, IRAN
 
Abstract: 

The purpose of this study was to predict the demands for higher education in Iran until 2025. For this reason two methods of Cohort Population and Participation Rate in higher education were used. The demand for Iran's higher education was predicted by gender, undergraduate and graduate classifications. The results demonstrated that the undergraduate applicants for higher education are declining in next 14 years in a such way that in 2025 the number of applicants for undergraduate level will be declining to about six hundred thousand individuals, that is half of the current applicants. Decreasing graduate applicants demand begins after next two or three years and it will roughly remain the same as current level in 2025.

 
Keyword(s): DEMAND OF HIGHER EDUCATION, COHORT POPULATION, PARTICIPATION RATE, FORECASTING
 
References: 
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