Paper Information

Journal:   AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL)   2010 , Volume 4 , Number 1; Page(s) 9 To 30.
 
Paper: 

MODELING AND FORECASTING OF RAINFALL AND DETERMINING WITHDRAWAL WATER ON AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN KABODARAHANG, HAMADAN

 
 
Author(s):  AGHAPOORSABAGHI M.*, YAZDANI S., SALAMI H.
 
* TEHRAN UNIVERSITY
 
Abstract: 

This study forecasts rainfall amount with the use of time series approach in Kabodar Ahang district which located in north part of Hamadan province. Seasonal model results revealed that precipitation data in mentioned district has non-periodic characteristic. Also, HEGY test results show no root in monthly and seasonal data. So, ARMA (4.4), can forecasts and exhibits mentioned region’s rainfall pattern mannerly.. By determining rainfall amount and applying underground water balance of Kabodar Ahang, accessible water of agriculture sector estimated for 2008 though 2010 equal to 257.77 , 267.56  and 254.87 .

 
Keyword(s): RAINFALL, FORECASTING, SEASONAL AND NON SEASONAL PATTERN, TIME SERIES MODELS, KABODAR AHANG
 
References: 
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