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Paper Information

Journal:   AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL)   2010 , Volume 4 , Number 2; Page(s) 165 To 183.
 
Paper: 

APPLICATION OF ANFIS IN COMPARISON WITH ARIMA MODEL TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS RETAIL PRICE FORECASTING

 
 
Author(s):  FAHIMIFARD S.M.*, SALARPOUR M., SABOUHI SABOUNI M.
 
* ZABOL UNIVERSITY, IRAN
 
Abstract: 

In this study, the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is introduced and its application in forecasting the three perspectives (1, 2 and 4 weeks) ahead of Iran’s rice, poultry and egg retail price was compared with ARIMA as the most common econometrics linear forecasting method. Through it, the weekly data collected from the website of Iran State Livestock Affairs Logistics and Country Welfare Big-store related to 2002/3/21-2008/6/21, and forecast performance measures such as; R2, MAD and RMSE were used. Results of models performance evaluation showed that the forecasted test data related to ANFIS designed architects have more correspondence with the real data in comparison with the ARIMA forecasted out of sample data. Therefore, the non-linear ANFIS model outperforms the linear ARIMA model for all considered perspectives and agricultural products retail price.

 
Keyword(s): ANFIS, ARIMA, FORECASTING, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS RETAIL PRICE
 
 
References: 
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Citations: 
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+ Click to Cite.
APA: Copy

FAHIMIFARD, S., & SALARPOUR, M., & SABOUHI SABOUNI, M. (2010). APPLICATION OF ANFIS IN COMPARISON WITH ARIMA MODEL TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS RETAIL PRICE FORECASTING. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), 4(2), 165-183. https://www.sid.ir/en/journal/ViewPaper.aspx?id=191547



Vancouver: Copy

FAHIMIFARD S.M., SALARPOUR M., SABOUHI SABOUNI M.. APPLICATION OF ANFIS IN COMPARISON WITH ARIMA MODEL TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS RETAIL PRICE FORECASTING. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL). 2010 [cited 2021June22];4(2):165-183. Available from: https://www.sid.ir/en/journal/ViewPaper.aspx?id=191547



IEEE: Copy

FAHIMIFARD, S., SALARPOUR, M., SABOUHI SABOUNI, M., 2010. APPLICATION OF ANFIS IN COMPARISON WITH ARIMA MODEL TO AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS RETAIL PRICE FORECASTING. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), [online] 4(2), pp.165-183. Available: https://www.sid.ir/en/journal/ViewPaper.aspx?id=191547.



 
 
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