Paper Information

Journal:   RAHBORD   FALL 2009 , Volume 18 , Number 52 (SPECIAL ISSUE FOR ECONOMIC STUDIES); Page(s) 245 To 265.
 
Paper: 

AN INVESTIGATION ON THE POPULATION GROWTH RATE OF IRAN

 
 
Author(s):  SHAKOURI GANJAVI H., TAHERI SHAKIB
 
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Abstract: 
In order to design an effective plan for the future path of a country, it is essential to have a clear image of its direction and route. Doubtless, census taking is a vital necessity to select the right way for developing economical and social plans. According to the census taken in 1385, the 10-year growth rate is equal to 1.61 percents. An uncomplicated mathematical calculation can prove that against a general opinion that is popular even among a faction of experts, the population growth won’t be descending or stay in the aforementioned rate. Moreover, it is shown by Cubic Spline inter/extrapolation that a new wave of population growth increment will appear within the next decade between 2 and 2.5 percents. This fact can affect many aspects in development and strategic planning and must be considered by planners and policy makers of the country.
 
Keyword(s): POPULATION GROWTH, IRAN’S POPULATION, FORECASTING GROWTH RATE, CUBIC SPLINE INTER/EXTRAPOLATION
 
References: 
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