Click for new scientific resources and news about Corona[COVID-19]

Paper Information

Journal:   MODARRES HUMAN SCIENCES   WINTER 2006 , Volume 10 , Number 4 (TOM 49); Page(s) 231 To 251.
 
Paper: 

APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING

 
 
Author(s):  MOUMENI MANSOUR*, ESMAEILIAN M.
 
* TEHRAN UNIVERSITY, TEHRAN, IRAN
 
Abstract: 

The purpose of this study is to explain the ability of the simulation methodology to consider uncertainty of the multi criteria decisions making. The rank order of decision alternatives depends on two types of uncertainty: (1) uncertainty associated with the decision making judgment regarding each element of decision matrix described by distribution function, and (2) uncertainty regarding the future characteristics of the decision making environment described by a set of scenarios.

Scenario is description of the decision making environment into some separate situations. Researchers concentrate on this type of uncertainty less than other types.
Both types of uncertainty are capable to opposite the rank of alternatives and decline the certainty of decision maker to the rank order of alternatives. In The present research, a simulation approach for handling both types of related uncertainty was described. The final conclusions showed that when uncertainty associated with the decision making judgment regarding each element of decision matrix increases, the probability of rank reversion and rank uncertainty increases too. Under these situations, the final ranking of the alternatives is probabilistic.

 
Keyword(s): SIMULATION, UNCERTAINTY, MULTI CRITERIA DECISION MAKING
 
References: 
  • ندارد
 
  Persian Abstract Yearly Visit 100
 
Latest on Blog
Enter SID Blog