Abstract:
This study is te investigate the quantity and change of the rate of peoples
participation in six presidential elections from 1358-1372 in different provinces of
the country. Also there was an attempt to use social and economical approach of
modernization theory to describe the way of sociological factors and variants
affect the rate of peoples participation in persidential elections.
Some of the following results obtained:
1. The rate of peoples participation in persidential elections during the six
elections (58-72) has been fluctuating, but as a whole the procedure of the
changes had a decrease in the rate of participation.
2. The rate of peoples participation in presidential elections in the
provinces where the number of individuals believing in shite religion
(Esnaashary) are more than the other religions (Tasannon and Christianity and
...) and also the less populated provinces in which citizenship is low, the
participation was more than the other provinces.
3. The rate of partticipation in border provinces lower than other provinces,
however at the begining of the revolution these provinces enjoyed a higher rate of
paticipation.
4. The result of multi-analysis of regression with (144) cases shows that 9
percent inflation, 6 percent unemployment, 3 percent urbanization, 8 percent
literacy and 2 percent of sexual ratio which totally make up 29 percent of the
factors were significant in the fluctuation in elections. These are the factors of
change of the rate of peoples participation in 6 presidential elections.Because of
the weak and unmeaningful relation with other factors, industralization
factorscouldnt enter the regression equation.
Inflation, unemployment and urbanization had a negative effect and
literacy and sexual ratio had a positive effect on the rate of participation in
persidential elections.
The main factors affecting fluctuation in elections were found to be the
inflation factors (74%) and literacy (67%) and the least significant refer to the
sexual ratio (15%).
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